Wildfire Incident Response

Replay

Fault runs

Scripted runs over the recorded feeds: a fault is injected at one step and a scripted operator tries to approve through the same checks the console uses.

Duplicate detections

Aspen Acres · set 2026-09-26-r2

New heat appears, then a second satellite sees the same pixels and the first file is re-sent with every row twice. The picture must not double.

The fault is simulated; the snapshot, briefing and decision checks are the real code.

  1. Step 1 · T+0 minAs recorded
  2. Step 2 · T+60 minNew heat
  3. Step 3 · T+120 minSame heat, twice more

Step 3: Same heat, twice more

rev-3ce45590cfc7

S-NPP passes 55 minutes later and sees the same five pixels, and the NOAA-20 file is re-sent with every injected row duplicated.

  • Incident locations: fresh
  • Incident perimeters: fresh
  • Satellite detections: fresh
  • Fire weather alerts: fresh
  • Station observations: fresh
  • Modelled current weather: fresh
  • Resource positions: fresh
hotspots
30
clusters
19
near fire
1
merged
28
rejected
5
resources
4

Operator

  1. Approved on the step 2 briefingRefused. The inputs changed after the briefing you reviewed.
    • Satellite detections (NOAA20): new data
    • Satellite detections (SNPP): new data
    • Station observations (NWS): new data
    • Modelled current weather (Open-Meteo): new data
    • Resource positions (Simulated AVL): new data
    • Now reads: Simulated resource positions (not a real feed): 2 engines, 1 crew, 1 helicopter, all within 7 km, last reported 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC.
    • Now reads: Across the Rocky Mountain Region (USFS Region 2), 58 detections came from 3 satellite feeds; 28 repeat sightings of the same spot were merged. That leaves 30 hotspots in 19 clusters.
    • Now reads: NWS station K4V1 (44 km away) observed 59°F, RH 51%, wind W 23 mph, gusts 30 mph at 2026-09-26 15:15 UTC.
    • Now reads: Open-Meteo models 51°F, RH 40%, wind WNW 15 mph, gusts 23 mph at the incident for 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC.
    • …and 1 more changed lines
  2. Approved on the step 3 briefingRecorded.

Conflicts and gaps

0 open
  • NoteThe nearest reporting station is 44 km from the incident.
  • Note5 records were rejected from firms (e.g. duplicate id firms:N20:2026-09-26T14:28:00.000Z:38.01930,-105.07130).

Briefing

template-v1 · rev-3ce45590cfc7

The briefing written at this step, from rev-3ce45590cfc7 as of 2026-09-26 16:08Z.

Situation

  • Aspen Acres (Custer County, CO) is reported at 102,004 acres and 82% contained, per the incident record last updated 2026-09-25 21:43 UTC. WFIGS incident record
  • The mapped perimeter covers 102,003 acres, mapped 2026-08-02 05:30 UTC. WFIGS perimeter
  • Simulated resource positions (not a real feed): 2 engines, 1 crew, 1 helicopter, all within 7 km, last reported 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC. Simulated engine SIM-332-E1 16:00ZSimulated engine SIM-332-E2 16:00ZSimulated crew SIM-332-C1 16:00ZSimulated helicopter SIM-332-H1 16:00Z

Satellite heat

  • 1 heat cluster (10 detections) is associated with Aspen Acres: 1 inside the mapped perimeter, 0 outside it. Latest detection 2026-09-26 15:23 UTC (46 min ago). Heat cluster, last 15:23Z
  • Across the Rocky Mountain Region (USFS Region 2), 58 detections came from 3 satellite feeds; 28 repeat sightings of the same spot were merged. That leaves 30 hotspots in 19 clusters. NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) fetch 16:08ZNASA FIRMS (VIIRS) fetch 16:08ZNASA FIRMS (VIIRS) fetch 16:08Z

Weather

  • NWS station K4V1 (44 km away) observed 59°F, RH 51%, wind W 23 mph, gusts 30 mph at 2026-09-26 15:15 UTC. NWS K4V1 15:15Z
  • Open-Meteo models 51°F, RH 40%, wind WNW 15 mph, gusts 23 mph at the incident for 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC. Open-Meteo 16:00Z
  • The two weather sources agree within tolerance on temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, wind direction. NWS K4V1 15:15ZOpen-Meteo 16:00Z
  • No active NWS alert names Custer County. NWS fetch 16:08Z

Inputs and conflicts

  • All 7 sources were fresh as of 2026-09-26 16:08 UTC. NIFC WFIGS fetch 16:08ZNIFC WFIGS fetch 16:08ZNASA FIRMS (VIIRS) fetch 16:08ZNASA FIRMS (VIIRS) fetch 16:08Z+5
  • The nearest reporting station is 44 km from the incident. 5 records were rejected from firms (e.g. duplicate id firms:N20:2026-09-26T14:28:00.000Z:38.01930,-105.07130). Data flagData flag
  • Built from input revision rev-3ce45590cfc7 (9 payloads). NIFC WFIGS fetch 16:08ZNIFC WFIGS fetch 16:08ZNASA FIRMS (VIIRS) fetch 16:08ZNASA FIRMS (VIIRS) fetch 16:08Z+5

briefing sha256:94463c98835f…